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Data-Driven Strategies for In-Play Betting Success this MLB Season

28 March 2024

As the MLB 2024 season gets underway, sportsbook operators have a golden opportunity to maximize in-play betting engagement and revenue. Harnessing the power of data-driven insights, here are three actionable strategies to optimize your in-play betting offerings:

Strategic Timing: Seize Peak Betting Moments

In the fast-paced world of in-play betting, timing is everything. Analyzing data from the 2023 season, we’ve pinpointed the top three moments for bet placement:

Timing Percentage of Total In-Play Bets
Top of the 1st inning 6.56%
Bottom of the 1st inning 5.56%
Top of the 2nd inning 4.90%

To leverage this data effectively:

  • Offer strategic bonus plays during these peak moments to incentivize bettors.
  • Target advertising campaigns during weekends and summer months, when engagement spikes.
  • Enhance in-play betting options to align with optimal moments of the game.
Diversifying Bet Types: Catering to Varied Preferences 

Based on actual data from 2023, we’ve identified the most popular bet types.

Most Tickets: 

Bet Type Percentage of Total Tickets
Winner (incl. extra innings) 38.28%
Total (incl. extra innings) 19.35%
Handicap (incl. extra innings) 13.36%
1×2 3.71%
Innings 1 to 5 – Total 1.64%

Most Handle:

Bet Type Percentage of Total Handle
Winner (incl. extra innings) 47.12%
Total (incl. extra innings) 16.05%
Handicap (incl. extra innings) 12.73%
Innings 1 to 5 – Total 2.43%
Will There Be an Extra Inning 0.91%

To optimize your offerings:

  • Promote high-engagement bets like “Winner,” “Total,” and “Handicap” through targeted promotions.
  • Expand total bet offerings to include inning-specific totals to cater to diverse preferences.
  • Explore niche bet types to capture specific interests within your user base.
Prioritizing Profitability: Maximizing Revenue Opportunities 

At the core of every in-play betting opportunity lies profitability. Here are the top ten most profitable live bets in 2023 for MLB, ranked by total handle:

Bet Type Percentage of Total Handle
Winner (incl. extra innings) 47.12%
Total (incl. extra innings) 16.05%
Handicap (incl. extra innings) 12.73%
Innings 1 to 5 – Total 2.43%
Will There Be an Extra Inning 0.91%
New York Yankees total 0.78%
6th inning – total 0.60%
Total (over-exact-under) 0.57%
3rd inning – total 0.49%
Total scoreless innings 0.45%

To capitalize on these opportunities:

  • Target promotions and bonuses towards top-performing bets to drive engagement.
  • Customize in-play betting options to emphasize profitable bet types and encourage more wagering.
  • Implement dynamic pricing strategies based on insights from profitable bets to optimize revenue.

By leveraging these data-driven action items, you can elevate the in-play betting experience for MLB fans and drive unprecedented engagement and revenue during the 2024 season. Seize the opportunity, harness the power of data, and position your sportsbook for success.

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